Samtrediavs
FC Iberia 1999
COMPLETEDGeorgia · David Kipiani Cup · 9/2/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Iberia 1999 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Samtredia 2-0 FC Iberia 1999
Original prediction
FC Iberia 1999
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.07 | 17.8% | 30.1% | 12.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.78 | 23.8% | 25.1% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 1.54 | 58.4% | 44.8% | -13.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
FC Iberia 1999
Probability
44.8%
Model confidence
44.8%
FC Iberia 1999 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60