Samsunsporvs
Trabzonspor
COMPLETEDTurkey · Süper Lig · 10/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Trabzonspor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Samsunspor 0-3 Trabzonspor
Original prediction
Trabzonspor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 11 September 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.57 | 26.1% | 22.1% | -4.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.9% | 24.4% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 1.94 | 48.0% | 53.5% | 5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.94 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–212%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Trabzonspor
Probability
53.5%
Model confidence
53.5%
Trabzonspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80