GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 8/28/2025, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Samsunspor · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Samsunspor are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Panathinaikos are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 36.5 against 37.2. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.3% in the UEFA Europa League, while Samsunspor holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Samsunspor

Probability

43.3%

Model confidence

43.3%

Samsunspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SamsunsporLWWDL

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
PanathinaikosWDDDL

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
SamsunsporPanathinaikos
16.7Attack38.9
66.7Defence44.4
16.7Form22.2
36.5Power37.2
1.50xG1.08
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