Samsunsporvs
Çorum FK
COMPLETEDTurkey · Süper Lig · 9/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Samsunspor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Samsunspor 1-5 Çorum FK
Original prediction
Samsunspor
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.16 | 43.3% | 43.0% | -0.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.32 | 28.1% | 25.8% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 3.26 | 28.6% | 31.1% | 2.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Samsunspor
Probability
43.0%
Model confidence
43.0%
Samsunspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80