Samsunsporvs
Fenerbahçe
COMPLETEDTurkey · Süper Lig · 8/30/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fenerbahçe · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Samsunspor 0-2 Fenerbahçe
Original prediction
Fenerbahçe
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.35 | 17.6% | 36.8% | 19.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.13 | 22.8% | 25.1% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 1.58 | 59.6% | 38.0% | -21.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.58 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-21.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Fenerbahçe
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
38.0%
Fenerbahçe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20