GGOALVIO

Turkey · Süper Lig · 8/21/2023, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Samsunspor · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Samsunspor are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 1.50 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Fenerbahçe are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Samsunspor hold a 21.2-point power-rating edge (44.9 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.1% in the Süper Lig, while Samsunspor holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Samsunspor

Probability

37.1%

Model confidence

37.1%

Samsunspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SamsunsporDL

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 1.50/2.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 1/2
FenerbahçeWWWWW

GF 17 · GA 2 · avg 3.40/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
SamsunsporFenerbahçe
36.8Attack33.3
54.4Defence33.3
37.7Form0.0
44.9Power23.7
1.26xG1.08
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