GGOALVIO

Turkey · Süper Lig · 8/30/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Samsunspor · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Samsunspor are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Fenerbahçe are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Samsunspor hold a 21.2-point power-rating edge (44.9 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.4% in the Süper Lig, while Samsunspor holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Samsunspor

Probability

39.2%

Model confidence

14.4%

Samsunspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SamsunsporLWWDL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FenerbahçeLWWDW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
SamsunsporFenerbahçe
36.8Attack33.3
54.4Defence33.3
37.7Form0.0
44.9Power23.7
1.27xG1.08
View match centre →