Samsunsporvs
Amed
COMPLETEDTurkey · Süper Lig · 10/24/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Amed · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-3 (12%), 0-2 (11%), 0-4 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Samsunspor 1-2 Amed
Original prediction
Amed
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.04 | 30.7% | 14.1% | -16.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 27.1% | 16.4% | -10.7 pts |
| Away | 2.21 | 42.2% | 69.5% | 27.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.22 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
27.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–312%
- 2.0–211%
- 3.0–49%
Predicted outcome
Amed
Probability
69.5%
Model confidence
69.5%
Amed has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SamsunsporLLLLL
GF 2 · GA 14 · avg 0.40/2.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
AmedWDWWD
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
SamsunsporAmed
29.2Attack75.0
20.8Defence62.5
16.7Form70.8
25.6Power68.8
0.75xG3.17