Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sudtirol · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Sampdoria are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Sudtirol are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sudtirol hold a 24.3-point power-rating edge (21.0 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.2% in the Coppa Italia, while Sudtirol holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sudtirol
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Sudtirol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60
GF 0 · GA 6 · avg 0.00/3.00