Sampdoria U19vs
Brescia U19
COMPLETEDItaly · Campionato Primavera - 2 · 10/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sampdoria U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sampdoria U19 5-1 Brescia U19
Original prediction
Sampdoria U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 17 September 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.60 | 56.2% | 51.8% | -4.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.95 | 22.8% | 22.9% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 4.26 | 21.1% | 25.3% | 4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.60 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Sampdoria U19
Probability
51.8%
Model confidence
51.8%
Sampdoria U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80