Sampaio Correavs
IAPE
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 4/11/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sampaio Correa · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Sampaio Correa are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while IAPE are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Sampaio Correa hold a 22.6-point power-rating edge (52.8 v 30.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.2% in the Serie D, while Sampaio Correa holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sampaio Correa
Probability
67.2%
Model confidence
67.2%
Sampaio Correa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/2.00