GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 5/30/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Sampaio Corrêa RJ are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Velo Clube are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Velo Clube hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (45.5 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.6% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

50.6%

Model confidence

50.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sampaio Corrêa RJDLLDW

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Velo ClubeDLDDW

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Sampaio Corrêa RJVelo Clube
25.0Attack33.3
66.7Defence66.7
36.1Form42.9
45.5Power49.6
0.53xG0.62
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