GGOALVIO

Brazil · Copa Rio · 8/30/2023, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Sampaio Corrêa RJ are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Portuguesa RJ are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Sampaio Corrêa RJ hold a 25.0-point power-rating edge (75.3 v 50.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.9% in the Copa Rio, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.9%

Model confidence

39.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sampaio Corrêa RJWW

GF 4 · GA 0 · avg 2.00/0.00

BTTS 0/2O2.5 1/2
Portuguesa RJDWDWL

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sampaio Corrêa RJPortuguesa RJ
33.3Attack25.0
100.0Defence75.0
83.3Form41.7
75.3Power50.3
0.94xG0.61
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