Sampaio Corrêa RJvs
Nova Iguaçu
COMPLETEDBrazil · Copa Rio · 9/2/2026, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sampaio Corrêa RJ 0-0 Nova Iguaçu, with an exact score probability of 26%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sampaio Corrêa RJ 2-1 Nova Iguaçu
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.27 | 39.7% | 34.9% | -4.7 pts |
| Draw | 2.97 | 30.3% | 33.3% | 2.9 pts |
| Away | 3.00 | 30.0% | 31.8% | 1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.9 pts
Projected Score
Sampaio Corrêa RJ 0–0 Nova Iguaçu
Exact score probability: 26%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.3%
Model confidence
34.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Sampaio Corrêa RJLWDWW
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Nova IguaçuWDWDW
GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Sampaio Corrêa RJNova Iguaçu
26.7Attack33.3
86.7Defence93.3
66.7Form73.3
62.3Power69.5
0.70xG0.68