Sampaio Corrêa RJvs
CFRJ / Maricá
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 5/23/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Sampaio Corrêa RJ are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while CFRJ / Maricá are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sampaio Corrêa RJ hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (45.5 v 42.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.0% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
47.0%
Model confidence
47.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80