SamguralivsDinamo Tbilisi

Samgurali are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Dinamo Tbilisi are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Dinamo Tbilisi hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 59.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.6% in the Erovnuli Liga, while Dinamo Tbilisi holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.