Sambenedettesevs
Latina
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone B · 10/11/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sambenedettese · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sambenedettese 1-1 Latina
Original prediction
Sambenedettese
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 11 September 2026 at 00:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.57 | 35.4% | 36.8% | 1.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.04 | 29.9% | 30.1% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.62 | 34.7% | 33.1% | -1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.04 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Sambenedettese
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
36.8%
Sambenedettese has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40