Sambenedettesevs
Campobasso FC
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone B · 9/26/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sambenedettese 0-0 Campobasso FC, with an exact score probability of 28%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sambenedettese 1-2 Campobasso FC
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 18:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.69 | 33.3% | 34.5% | 1.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.00 | 29.8% | 33.4% | 3.5 pts |
| Away | 2.43 | 36.8% | 32.1% | -4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.5 pts
Projected Score
Sambenedettese 0–0 Campobasso FC
Exact score probability: 28%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.4%
Model confidence
34.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SambenedetteseDLLLD
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Campobasso FCDDWLD
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
SambenedetteseCampobasso FC
27.8Attack31.6
65.7Defence59.6
34.3Form37.7
45.0Power44.8
0.72xG0.59