Salyut-Belgorodvs
Zenit Penza
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 3 · 10/24/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Salyut-Belgorod · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Salyut-Belgorod 2-0 Zenit Penza, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Salyut-Belgorod 7-1 Zenit Penza
Original prediction
Salyut-Belgorod
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 19:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.34 | 67.2% | 76.4% | 9.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.50 | 20.0% | 15.1% | -4.9 pts |
| Away | 7.06 | 12.8% | 8.5% | -4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.34 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.2 pts
Projected Score
Salyut-Belgorod 2–0 Zenit Penza
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Salyut-Belgorod
Probability
76.4%
Model confidence
76.4%
Salyut-Belgorod has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80
GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.20/1.20