Salyut-Belgorodvs
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 3 · 9/5/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Volna Nizhegorodskaya · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Salyut-Belgorod 0-2 Volna Nizhegorodskaya
Original prediction
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.86 | 31.7% | 29.8% | -1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.00 | 30.1% | 27.7% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 2.37 | 38.2% | 42.5% | 4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.37 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
Volna Nizhegorodskaya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80