Salyut-Belgorodvs
SKA Khabarovsk II
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 3 · 10/3/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Salyut-Belgorod · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 3-0 (11%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Salyut-Belgorod 3-1 SKA Khabarovsk II
Original prediction
Salyut-Belgorod
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 09:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.26 | 72.9% | 71.8% | -1.1 pts |
| Draw | 5.67 | 16.3% | 17.0% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 8.50 | 10.8% | 11.3% | 0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.26 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.3–011%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Salyut-Belgorod
Probability
71.8%
Model confidence
71.8%
Salyut-Belgorod has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00