Salyut-Belgorodvs
FK Spartak Tambov
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 3 · 9/19/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FK Spartak Tambov · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (15%), 0-1 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Salyut-Belgorod 2-2 FK Spartak Tambov
Original prediction
FK Spartak Tambov
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.54 | 25.9% | 31.3% | 5.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 28.7% | 28.3% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.02 | 45.4% | 40.4% | -5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.20 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–015%
- 3.0–113%
Predicted outcome
FK Spartak Tambov
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
40.4%
FK Spartak Tambov has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60