Salyut-Belgorodvs
Arsenal Tula II
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 3 · 10/17/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Salyut-Belgorod · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Salyut-Belgorod 2-0 Arsenal Tula II, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Salyut-Belgorod 3-0 Arsenal Tula II
Original prediction
Salyut-Belgorod
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 17 September 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.32 | 68.8% | 80.9% | 12.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.70 | 19.4% | 13.3% | -6.1 pts |
| Away | 7.78 | 11.7% | 5.8% | -5.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.33 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.1 pts
Projected Score
Salyut-Belgorod 2–0 Arsenal Tula II
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Salyut-Belgorod
Probability
80.9%
Model confidence
80.9%
Salyut-Belgorod has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60