Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Turku PS · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
SalPa are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Turku PS are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Turku PS hold a 16.4-point power-rating edge (39.9 v 56.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.5% in the Ykkösliiga, while Turku PS holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Turku PS
Probability
53.5%
Model confidence
53.5%
Turku PS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40