Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Turku PS · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
SalPa are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Turku PS are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Turku PS hold a 16.4-point power-rating edge (39.9 v 56.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.5% in the Ykkösliiga, while Turku PS holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Turku PS
Probability
53.5%
Model confidence
53.5%
Turku PS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 16 · GA 8 · avg 3.20/1.60