SalPavs
Tampere United
COMPLETEDFinland · Ykkönen · 9/19/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tampere United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SalPa 6-4 Tampere United
Original prediction
Tampere United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.18 | 41.6% | 24.7% | -16.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.69 | 24.6% | 19.7% | -4.8 pts |
| Away | 2.68 | 33.8% | 55.6% | 21.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
21.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Tampere United
Probability
55.6%
Model confidence
55.6%
Tampere United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00