GGOALVIO

Finland · Ykkönen · 4/11/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tampere United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Mediumconfidence

SalPa are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Tampere United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Tampere United hold a 16.5-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 69.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.0% in the Ykkönen, while Tampere United holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tampere United

Probability

62.7%

Model confidence

10.0%

Tampere United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SalPaDWWLL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Tampere UnitedWLLWD

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
SalPaTampere United
59.6Attack71.9
45.6Defence73.7
52.6Form70.2
53.1Power69.5
1.08xG2.29
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