GGOALVIO

Finland · Ykkösliiga · 8/31/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

SalPa are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while SJK Akatemia are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and SalPa hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (39.9 v 34.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.4% in the Ykkösliiga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.4%

Model confidence

37.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SalPaWWDDL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
SJK AkatemiaDDWWW

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SalPaSJK Akatemia
38.3Attack15.8
40.7Defence56.1
35.8Form21.1
39.9Power34.1
1.11xG0.87
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