SalPavs
SJK Akatemia
COMPLETEDFinland · Ykkösliiga · 7/17/2024, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
SalPa are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while SJK Akatemia are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and SalPa hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (39.9 v 34.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.4% in the Ykkösliiga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80