Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PK-35 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2
SalPa are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while PK-35 are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and PK-35 hold a 25.8-point power-rating edge (39.9 v 65.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.3% in the Ykkösliiga, while PK-35 holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
PK-35
Probability
64.3%
Model confidence
64.3%
PK-35 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 11 · avg 0.20/2.20
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00