Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
OLS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
8%
LowconfidenceSalPa are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while OLS are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and oLS hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (53.4 v 57.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Ykkönen, favouring OLS with 8.3% confidence, a 75% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
OLS
Probability
41.7%
Model confidence
8.3%
OLS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SalPaWLLWW
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
OLSDWWDL
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
SalPaOLS
61.1Attack66.7
44.4Defence51.9
53.7Form53.7
53.4Power57.3
1.92xG2.09