Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lahti · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2
SalPa are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Lahti are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Lahti hold a 28.7-point power-rating edge (39.9 v 68.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.6% in the Ykkösliiga, while Lahti holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lahti
Probability
67.6%
Model confidence
67.6%
Lahti has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20