Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lahti · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2
SalPa are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Lahti are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Lahti hold a 28.7-point power-rating edge (39.9 v 68.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.6% in the Ykkösliiga, while Lahti holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lahti
Probability
67.6%
Model confidence
67.6%
Lahti has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00