SalPavs
KuPS Akatemia
COMPLETEDFinland · Ykkönen · 6/12/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SalPa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
SalPa are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while KuPS Akatemia are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and SalPa hold a 19.8-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 33.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.4% in the Ykkönen, while SalPa holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
SalPa
Probability
67.6%
Model confidence
8.4%
SalPa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 10 · avg 2.80/2.00
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00