Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SalPa · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
SalPa are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while KäPa are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 39.9 against 38.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the Ykkösliiga, while SalPa holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
SalPa
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
SalPa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
GF 10 · GA 14 · avg 2.00/2.80