Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SalPa · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
SalPa are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while KäPa are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 39.9 against 38.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the Ykkösliiga, while SalPa holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
SalPa
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
SalPa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20