Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
SalPa are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Klubi-04 are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 39.9 against 38.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.1% in the Ykkösliiga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60