Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
SalPa are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while JäPS are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 4.20 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and JäPS hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (39.9 v 46.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.0% in the Ykkösliiga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.0%
Model confidence
36.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 21 · GA 14 · avg 4.20/2.80