Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
SalPa are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while JäPS are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and JäPS hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (39.9 v 46.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.0% in the Ykkösliiga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.0%
Model confidence
36.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20