Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
7%
LowconfidenceSalPa are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while JJK are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 3.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and salPa hold a 2.7-point power-rating edge (53.4 v 50.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely result in the Ykkönen, favouring a draw with 7.2% confidence, a 84% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
20.7%
Model confidence
7.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SalPaLLWWD
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
JJKLLDLW
GF 16 · GA 13 · avg 3.20/2.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
SalPaJJK
61.1Attack75.9
44.4Defence35.2
53.7Form46.3
53.4Power50.8
2.63xG2.34