Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
JIPPO · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
SalPa are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.80 conceded, while JIPPO are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and JIPPO hold a 17.6-point power-rating edge (39.9 v 57.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.0% in the Ykkösliiga, while JIPPO holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
JIPPO
Probability
52.0%
Model confidence
52.0%
JIPPO has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20