Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
JIPPO · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
SalPa are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while JIPPO are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 4.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and JIPPO hold a 17.6-point power-rating edge (39.9 v 57.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.0% in the Ykkösliiga, while JIPPO holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
JIPPO
Probability
52.0%
Model confidence
52.0%
JIPPO has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80
GF 22 · GA 7 · avg 4.40/1.40