GGOALVIO

Finland · Ykkönen · 4/24/2026, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SalPa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Lowconfidence

SalPa are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Inter Turku II are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and SalPa hold a 15.6-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 37.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.3% in the Ykkönen, while SalPa holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

SalPa

Probability

67.1%

Model confidence

8.3%

SalPa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SalPaDWWDW

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Inter Turku IIDLLLL

GF 10 · GA 16 · avg 2.00/3.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
SalPaInter Turku II
59.6Attack52.6
45.6Defence21.1
52.6Form35.1
53.1Power37.4
3.23xG1.53
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