SalPavs
HIFK Elsinki
COMPLETEDFinland · Ykkönen · 4/29/2023, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SalPa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
SalPa are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while HIFK Elsinki are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and SalPa hold a 4.0-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 49.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.7% in the Ykkönen, while SalPa holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
SalPa
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
46.7%
SalPa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80