Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FF Jaro · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2
SalPa are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while FF Jaro are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and FF Jaro hold a 24.6-point power-rating edge (39.9 v 64.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.5% in the Ykkösliiga, while FF Jaro holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FF Jaro
Probability
64.5%
Model confidence
64.5%
FF Jaro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40