Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
EIF · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
SalPa are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while EIF are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and EIF hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (39.9 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.1% in the Ykkösliiga, while EIF holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
EIF
Probability
37.1%
Model confidence
37.1%
EIF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 14 · GA 10 · avg 2.80/2.00