GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 12/26/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Salisbury · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Salisbury are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Winchester City are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Salisbury hold a 14.3-point power-rating edge (62.5 v 48.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.5% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Salisbury holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Salisbury

Probability

57.5%

Model confidence

57.5%

Salisbury has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SalisburyLWLLW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Winchester CityDDWWL

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
SalisburyWinchester City
55.6Attack50.0
63.5Defence46.8
62.7Form45.2
62.5Power48.2
2.00xG0.97
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