GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 8/15/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Salisbury · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Salisbury are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Swindon Supermarine are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Salisbury hold a 19.8-point power-rating edge (62.5 v 42.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.3% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Salisbury holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Salisbury

Probability

68.3%

Model confidence

68.3%

Salisbury has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SalisburyWDLLD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Swindon SupermarineLLWLL

GF 7 · GA 18 · avg 1.40/3.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
SalisburySwindon Supermarine
55.6Attack57.9
63.5Defence27.0
62.7Form38.9
62.5Power42.8
2.79xG1.10
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