Salisburyvs
Slough Town
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - South · 9/8/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Salisbury · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 3-0 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Salisbury 5-1 Slough Town
Original prediction
Salisbury
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.32 | 68.9% | 66.5% | -2.4 pts |
| Draw | 5.18 | 17.6% | 19.1% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 6.74 | 13.5% | 14.4% | 0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.32 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.3–010%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Salisbury
Probability
66.5%
Model confidence
66.5%
Salisbury has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20