Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Salisbury · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Salisbury are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Sholing are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sholing hold a 20.8-point power-rating edge (62.5 v 83.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.9% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Salisbury holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Salisbury
Probability
45.9%
Model confidence
45.9%
Salisbury has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00